Styxie

My armchair general take is that Russia is just flinging whatever resources they have left at the Ukrainians. They've lost their professional army, their artillery stockpiles, KA-52s, Wagner. Now all they have left are T-72s, BMPs, and bodies, so they're just hoping for any kind of win with that. It's not working out, and I'm really curious how long it'll be before they run out of soviet era armour and suicidal idiots, and what will happen next if they do.

Western media has become completely defeatist about Ukraine's prospects because Russia is still able to project strength. I honestly think that these tactics are a sign of desperation, and that things could start to fall apart quite suddenly for Russia. If for example, the US and EU pass more aid for Ukraine in early 2024, and Russia runs low on materiel, then it's not difficult to imagine. I'm hoping that the new ATACMS variant will knock out the Crimean bridge soon, and that a surprise offensive across the Dnieper could isolate Crimea and create a strategic disaster for Russia.

People who understand Putin say that he's a gambler, not a strategic genius. He's made so many bad bets since 2021, and I'm starting to hope that this latest roll of the dice using meat wave attacks could be the last time he's able to double down without serious consequences.

Saying one thing and then doing another in order to mislead.

Orban is in my opinion very good at gaslighting both the EU and his domestic supporters. He talks shit about the EU at every possible opportunity, but then when he shows up for Council meetings in Brussels, he'll usually sign up for whatever he's asked that month. Then he goes back to Hungary and immediately tells voters that he gave the EU leadership hell and that he got a great deal for Hungary. This is mostly my opinion, but I think everyone in the EU expects this conduct from Orban, and they just go along with it for the sake of progress.

His voters on the other hand genuinely think that he's a national hero for standing up to the no good, despicable, very bad EU leftist bureaucrats who also just happen to subsidise their economy. I kind of admire his batshit approach to politics, but disagree with everything he says. Basically, he's all bark and no bite. Just ignore whatever mad shit he's spouting and assume he's saying it for the benefit of his deranged supporters and won't follow through on it.

I'm hoping that as soon as Runnia runs out of steam, the US will pass another $60 billion in military aid and flood the zone with bradleys, abrams, f-16s, missiles, etc.

I'll give that article a read, thanks! In addition to infantry losses, I've been really scratching my head about equipment losses. I get that Russia has a colossal amount of old soviet junk which they can throw at Ukrainian defences, but they must be running out. They can only have so many old T-72s in storage that they can get going again. Tanks, APVs, artillary; long term I just don't see how it will be possible to sustain an 800km long front line without armour or artillery support. Something has to give eventually.

I really hope that this insane tactic will come back to bite him in the near future. There's no way these losses can be sustainable.

He should probably stop trying to take Avdiivka then. At this rate, there's only going to be 15% of his army left by the end of the winter.

Happy birthday Romania! An amazing culture and beautiful country.

Did the Ukrainians switch on the explosive ammo cheat or something? Holy fuck.

It's going to take a lot of brave people and a lot of money to demine Ukraine. Luckily, Ukrainians are very brave and they have some extremely rich friends.

100% a public transit enjoyer. I get annoyed with people in my city who complain endlessly about how shitty our bus service is. I've been getting the bus daily since childhood, and it used to be so much worse. 15 minute minimum wait, often it just wouldn't show up, and expensive fares. Now it's uncommon for me to wait for more than 5 minutes, the fares have reduced, and it's reliable. The only issue is that the bus gets stuck in traffic because there are twice as many cars on the roads now compared to 25 years ago. So great job drivers, you've created a self-fulfilling prophecy.

Most of it comes from people who have next to no experience of using public transit, and will just latch onto any excuse not to use it, when in reality they're snobs who don't like to admit that they think getting the bus is below them. It's not. I used to get the bus into college with one of my lecturers (RIP) who owned a fucking law firm, and it keeps people humble in my experience. I honestly think society would be healthier if people used public transit more.

Reports are saying there are 40000 reserves being sent to Avdiivka, so it looks like the numbers are going to stay high for a while. Appearently they've also run out of armour, so it's just infantry assaults now. What a horror show. I didn't think Russia had any reserves, since there's no rotation happening.