RandAlThor

There has been Chinese-sponsored (or coerced) peace talks in Yunan in the past. There were truces that came out of them, only for fighting to break out months later with both sides accusing the other of breaking the terms of truce. With every disparate guerilla force gaining momentum and growing more powerful, there is no end in sight. Not for the next 50 years.

As a long time observer of Myanmar’s civil war, I need to clarify the somewhat misleading nature of this article. The journalist makes it appear as if RSO and the military Junta have reached some sort of a “truce”. This is further from the truth. Rohingya guerillas have had little to no presence in Burma since the military’s operations in 2017 and subsequent years marked by the infamous massacre of over 100 Rohingya villagers in August 2017. Due to the emergence of Arakan Army (AA) as a powerful guerilla force in Burma since the 2021 coup (Arakan are the native tibeto-burman people of the state of Arakan who are predominantly buddhist), and in a twist of irony, the military junta has been arming and training Rohingya guerillas as a counter to the threat from AA. As noted in the article, RSO "has reorganised itself and expanded since 2022 from a base of around 1,000 cadres to between 5,000 and 6,000, although not all of them are armed, said Ko Ko Linn."

Currently, AA has control of most of the state of Arakan with the exception of major cities and a Chinese-owned deep sea port.

As a long time observer of Myanmar's civil war, I need to clarify the somewhat misleading nature of this article. The journalist makes it appear as if RSO and the military Junta have reached some sort of a "truce". This is further from the truth. Rohingya guerillas have had little to no presence in Burma since the military's operations in 2017 and subsequent years marked by the infamous massacre of over 100 Rohingya villagers in August 2017. Due to the emergence of Arakan Army (AA) as a powerful guerilla force in Burma since the 2021 coup (Arakan are the native tibeto-burman people of the state of Arakan who are predominantly buddhist), and in a twist of irony, the military junta has been arming and training Rohingya guerillas as a counter to the threat from AA. Currently, AA has control of most of the state of Arakan with the exception of major cities and a Chinese-owned deep sea port.

What's little known to the public and the outside world is the guerilla armies maintain and grow their troops through mandatory conscriptions in territories they hold.

Chinese lackeys doing their master's bidding.

This video will go over well to the people of Myanmar who have historically withstood repeated invasion attempts from China's direction for over 1000 years. Unwittingly, the Chinese-sponsored and backed MNDAA and UWSA are playing into the hands of the Junta's nationalist propaganda.

China is doing its best to antagonize all of its neighbors.

This is the first reporting of significant battle in the area of Sittwe since AA seized territories surrounding the state capital. Junta has been digging in and around the city, and are determined to hold onto the city.

Dirty Alberta does it again.

This is an interesting development in light of recent change in posture from China regarding Burmese civil war. They are increasingly concerned that Junta is losing grip on the country. They realized they do not have as firm a grasp on all the different militias as they thought they could. They are increasingly fearful of growing Russian influence in Burma. While Burmese junta has held joint military exercises with Russian forces, China has yet to hold a joint exercise with Burmese military.

Now bring that to World of Tanks. Or War Thunder.

Guerillas the Chinese helped founded, have supported and provided arms to have become more successful than they wanted. This development clearly confirms that Chinese are worried the Junta will collapse and Burma will fall into chaos, without a central authority but under disparate armed groups with constantly shifting territories due to rivalries amongst them. They need a central government in control of the country whom they can manipulate in order to implement their strategic interests in and through Burma. It seems their support for guerilla groups have been too successful and the situation is spinning out of their grasp.

First, we saw China appeal for regional unity in helping bring about stability in Burma 12 days ago, a break from its usual go-alone stance. Now they are blocking border trade that guerillas partially depend on for their revenue to bend them to Chinese will. The Chinese still have more leverage that they haven’t used yet of course. And it is interesting they are also pressuring the Wa who are not active participants in the civil war, but possesses the largest army amongst the guerillas with 30,000 soldiers (bigger than Sweden, Hungary or Portugal).