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Founders Fund has their dick in everything in the valley. They’ve invested in basically the entire title screen of HBO’s Silicon Valley.
Fuck Thiel, but trying to associate Thiel’s politics with Silver’s Blog / Model is a big stretch.
But still, going from a "unbiased" pollster to a high-tech bookie is clearly a money grab. This article tells us very little, except "it's a close horse race!" That sounds exactly like what a bookie would say to get more money on the match.
His focus has changed. I wonder how Nate Silver himself would treat a formerly good pollster who recently started an online betting arm? I suspect he would downgrade their reliability due to conflict of interest.
To be fair, he blew up because he took statistical modeling frameworks that were used for sports and gambling, and he applied them to elections.
He’s been using this language for years. He’s was a sport statistician and someone that made a living playing poker.
Thiel getting his money dick everywhere is not an accident. It's one he can exercise control on his peers or underlings.
Nate silver opted to join the above, so his opinions are now tainted by that association.
They may be accurate, but they now require extra scrutiny.